Axiomatic definition of probability

Probability is a measure of uncertainty. Once a random experiment is defined, we call probability of the event A the real number P(A) [0,1]. The function P(·):Ω [0,1] is called probability measure or probability distribution and must satisfy the following three axioms:

  • P(A) 0; the probability is always a non-negative value.
  • P(Ω) =1; the probability of the certain event is one (the maximum value).
  • A, B / A B = P(AB) = P(A) + P(B); if two events are complementary, the probability of the union event equals the sum of probabilities.

The axiomatic definition of probability allows us to construct a robust theory of probability. To better understand the concept of probability we rely on the `Frequentist definition’:

  • Frequentist definition of probability: The probability P(A) of an event A is the limit:
  • P(A) = limN NAN
  • Where N is the number of observations and NA is the number of times that event A occurred.
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