Partition of the sample space, and total probability
The set of events is a Partition of the Sample Space iff:
- all the events in the partition are mutually exclusive.
Given a partition , it is possible to calculate the probability of any event defined in the sample space , applying the Total Probability theorem, defined with the following expression:
And applying the Bayes theorem:
Example: A transmission system can send one of the following letters in binary code: A=100, B=110, C=111. The prior probability of transmitting each letter is: P(A)=0.4; P(B)=0.4; P(C)=0.2.
- Randomly select one symbol of the transmitted signal. Calculate the probability of this symbol to be 1.
Answer:
- Suppose the selected symbol is 1. Calculate the most likely transmitted letter.
Answer:
Therefore, the most likely transmitted letter is B.
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